NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU MVSU
Points 69.5 59.5
Total Points   129.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 15.1
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.8
Shooting FAMU MVSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 53.5
Field Goal % 46.7% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.4
Free Throw % 68.1% 66.0%
Ball Control FAMU MVSU
Rebounds 37.1 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.1
Turnovers 12.8 12.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.6
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 15.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Miss Val St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU MVSU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 65.8
% of Possessions with FAMU MVSU
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 20.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 22.2%
Turnover 18.3% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU MVSU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 25.2%