NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU UMES
Points 65.9 65.8
Total Points   131.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 17.0
Points From Free Throws 11.1 15.1
Shooting FAMU UMES
Field Goals Made 24.9 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 57.1
Field Goal % 43.5% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 11.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 21.0
Free Throw % 68.1% 71.8%
Ball Control FAMU UMES
Rebounds 37.9 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.0
Turnovers 13.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.7
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 15.5 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU UMES
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 70.2
% of Possessions with FAMU UMES
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 24.0%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.8%
Turnover 19.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU UMES
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 26.5%