NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU USC
Points 57.0 85.4
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.6
Points From Free Throws 9.5 17.4
Shooting FAMU USC
Field Goals Made 20.9 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 57.5
Field Goal % 35.4% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 36.5% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 9.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 25.0
Free Throw % 68.1% 69.5%
Ball Control FAMU USC
Rebounds 30.9 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.5
Turnovers 15.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 6.5
Steals 5.4 8.5
Fouls 17.0 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU USC
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 73.1
% of Possessions with FAMU USC
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 16.8% 23.3%
Turnover 20.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU USC
Shot Blocked 11.3% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 32.6%