NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MISS UGA
Points 77.4 74.6
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 25.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.9
Shooting MISS UGA
Field Goals Made 28.2 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 59.8
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.9
Free Throw % 73.0% 71.6%
Ball Control MISS UGA
Rebounds 37.0 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.3
Turnovers 9.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.4
Steals 6.9 5.5
Fouls 14.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MISS UGA
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 71.9
% of Possessions with MISS UGA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 27.7%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.3%
Turnover 12.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MISS UGA
Shot Blocked 4.1% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 27.9%