NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNLV WYO
Points 76.7 67.8
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.0
Shooting UNLV WYO
Field Goals Made 28.1 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 54.9
Field Goal % 49.5% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.9
Free Throw % 73.0% 75.2%
Ball Control UNLV WYO
Rebounds 34.0 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.7
Turnovers 9.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.2
Steals 6.2 4.5
Fouls 15.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNLV WYO
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 66.5
% of Possessions with UNLV WYO
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 27.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.8%
Turnover 13.3% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNLV WYO
Shot Blocked 4.1% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 28.2%