NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNLV SF
Points 67.2 69.4
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 23.3
Points From Free Throws 17.1 10.0
Shooting UNLV SF
Field Goals Made 22.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 58.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 17.1 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 13.5
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.2%
Ball Control UNLV SF
Rebounds 31.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.4
Turnovers 11.3 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.8
Steals 4.8 6.9
Fouls 12.3 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNLV SF
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 67.4
% of Possessions with UNLV SF
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 31.0%
Player Fouled 25.4% 18.1%
Turnover 16.6% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNLV SF
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 30.2%