NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA LEH
Points 64.9 74.0
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 19.9
Points From Free Throws 10.7 15.8
Shooting SFPA LEH
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 54.0
Field Goal % 44.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 10.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 21.7
Free Throw % 60.1% 72.8%
Ball Control SFPA LEH
Rebounds 32.4 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.4
Turnovers 12.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.8
Steals 5.4 6.8
Fouls 16.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: St Fran (PA)

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA LEH
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 66.6
% of Possessions with SFPA LEH
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 24.8%
Player Fouled 20.7% 24.1%
Turnover 18.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA LEH
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.7%