NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST AMER
Points 63.7 58.5
Total Points   122.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 25.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 21.6
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.3
Shooting MRST AMER
Field Goals Made 22.5 20.0
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 48.7
Field Goal % 45.5% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 15.8
Free Throw % 72.8% 71.6%
Ball Control MRST AMER
Rebounds 30.0 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 7.4
Turnovers 10.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 1.1
Steals 5.0 5.5
Fouls 14.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST AMER
Total Possessions 62.8
Effective Scoring Chances 58.8 58.7
% of Possessions with MRST AMER
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 31.2%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.7%
Turnover 16.3% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST AMER
Shot Blocked 2.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 23.8%