NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST MAN
Points 68.0 58.5
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 11.0 10.1
Shooting MRST MAN
Field Goals Made 24.8 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 53.8
Field Goal % 45.5% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 13.8
Free Throw % 72.8% 73.2%
Ball Control MRST MAN
Rebounds 34.7 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.2
Turnovers 11.2 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.6
Steals 7.0 7.2
Fouls 12.4 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST MAN
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 62.3
% of Possessions with MRST MAN
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 28.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.3%
Turnover 16.5% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST MAN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 20.9%