NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST FOR
Points 60.6 63.6
Total Points   124.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 21.2
Points From Free Throws 15.0 14.8
Shooting MRST FOR
Field Goals Made 20.0 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 49.0 54.0
Field Goal % 40.8% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 15.0 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.0
Free Throw % 72.8% 67.2%
Ball Control MRST FOR
Rebounds 32.2 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 11.2
Turnovers 13.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.6
Steals 5.2 8.0
Fouls 15.7 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST FOR
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 61.0 68.2
% of Possessions with MRST FOR
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 25.2% 23.0%
Turnover 19.8% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST FOR
Shot Blocked 8.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 30.1%