NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH EVAN
Points 67.6 66.7
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 19.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 11.8
Shooting M-OH EVAN
Field Goals Made 23.4 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 55.8
Field Goal % 42.3% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 11.6 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 16.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 69.9%
Ball Control M-OH EVAN
Rebounds 33.3 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.8
Turnovers 11.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.9
Steals 6.4 6.5
Fouls 14.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH EVAN
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 66.2
% of Possessions with M-OH EVAN
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 25.9%
Player Fouled 21.4% 21.0%
Turnover 16.2% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH EVAN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 22.6%