NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH AKR
Points 63.9 68.5
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 20.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 13.9
Shooting M-OH AKR
Field Goals Made 22.8 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 55.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 11.2 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 19.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 72.9%
Ball Control M-OH AKR
Rebounds 31.1 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 9.5
Turnovers 10.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.1
Steals 5.2 5.1
Fouls 15.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH AKR
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 67.2
% of Possessions with M-OH AKR
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 30.1%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.1%
Turnover 14.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH AKR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 27.7%