NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU ISU
Points 67.2 73.9
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 20.3
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.1
Shooting TTU ISU
Field Goals Made 22.1 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 59.5
Field Goal % 42.1% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 17.0
Free Throw % 78.5% 70.8%
Ball Control TTU ISU
Rebounds 33.3 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.1
Turnovers 13.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.4
Steals 5.1 7.7
Fouls 14.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU ISU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 70.3
% of Possessions with TTU ISU
2 Point Attempt 33.1% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 24.4%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.7%
Turnover 19.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU ISU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 32.0%