NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU TEX
Points 72.0 75.3
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 20.7
Points From Free Throws 15.5 11.8
Shooting TTU TEX
Field Goals Made 24.5 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 59.5
Field Goal % 43.3% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 15.4
Free Throw % 78.5% 76.5%
Ball Control TTU TEX
Rebounds 32.7 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.9
Turnovers 10.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.2
Steals 5.0 5.4
Fouls 13.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU TEX
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 69.3
% of Possessions with TTU TEX
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.8%
Turnover 14.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU TEX
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 29.9%