NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU WVU
Points 80.8 71.6
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.9 23.2
Points From Free Throws 14.6 12.7
Shooting TTU WVU
Field Goals Made 27.4 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.0
Free Throw % 78.5% 70.4%
Ball Control TTU WVU
Rebounds 34.8 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.9
Turnovers 8.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 6.4 3.6
Fouls 14.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU WVU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 67.6
% of Possessions with TTU WVU
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.1%
Turnover 12.5% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU WVU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 26.6%