NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU LSU
Points 77.8 74.5
Total Points   152.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 23.3
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.4
Shooting TTU LSU
Field Goals Made 26.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.2
Field Goal % 45.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.3
Free Throw % 78.5% 73.3%
Ball Control TTU LSU
Rebounds 33.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.4
Turnovers 10.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.5
Steals 6.8 6.0
Fouls 13.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU LSU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 69.9
% of Possessions with TTU LSU
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.9% 18.7%
Turnover 14.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU LSU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 30.4%