NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU BC
Points 77.9 71.4
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.9
Shooting SJU BC
Field Goals Made 28.6 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 60.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 17.3
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.4%
Ball Control SJU BC
Rebounds 40.2 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 9.4
Turnovers 8.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.5 2.5
Steals 5.7 5.4
Fouls 14.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU BC
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 69.7
% of Possessions with SJU BC
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 21.3%
Turnover 12.7% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU BC
Shot Blocked 4.3% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 25.8%