NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU HALL
Points 76.0 71.7
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 18.3
Points From Free Throws 11.9 17.2
Shooting SJU HALL
Field Goals Made 28.4 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 58.8
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.9 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 21.3
Free Throw % 74.2% 80.8%
Ball Control SJU HALL
Rebounds 37.4 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 12.0
Turnovers 10.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 7.2 3.6
Steals 6.8 6.6
Fouls 15.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: St Johns

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU HALL
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 71.1
% of Possessions with SJU HALL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 22.0%
Turnover 14.1% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU HALL
Shot Blocked 6.3% 11.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 33.3%