NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST UNI
Points 64.5 69.1
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 20.0
Points From Free Throws 13.2 13.3
Shooting ILST UNI
Field Goals Made 22.6 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 53.6
Field Goal % 42.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 18.7
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.8%
Ball Control ILST UNI
Rebounds 32.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.2
Turnovers 10.2 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.7
Steals 4.8 5.0
Fouls 15.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST UNI
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 64.9
% of Possessions with ILST UNI
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.2%
Player Fouled 24.3% 23.8%
Turnover 15.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST UNI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 22.4%