NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA GRC
Points 65.9 73.6
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 17.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.3
Shooting SEA GRC
Field Goals Made 22.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 55.1
Field Goal % 38.1% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 26.7
Free Throw % 74.7% 76.0%
Ball Control SEA GRC
Rebounds 35.1 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.4
Turnovers 12.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.7
Steals 4.8 6.9
Fouls 18.5 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA GRC
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 71.7
% of Possessions with SEA GRC
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 23.8%
Player Fouled 22.4% 25.7%
Turnover 17.1% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA GRC
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 29.8%