NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH WMU
Points 71.0 66.3
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 21.7
Points From Free Throws 12.8 11.8
Shooting M-OH WMU
Field Goals Made 24.8 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 57.8
Field Goal % 43.2% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 61.5%
Ball Control M-OH WMU
Rebounds 32.8 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 13.3
Turnovers 9.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.8
Steals 6.4 4.8
Fouls 15.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH WMU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 71.1
% of Possessions with M-OH WMU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 27.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.8%
Turnover 13.8% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH WMU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 34.5%