NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO DRKE
Points 61.0 85.5
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 10.1 21.0
Shooting SEMO DRKE
Field Goals Made 22.8 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 53.9
Field Goal % 38.8% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 63.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 10.1 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 28.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 74.8%
Ball Control SEMO DRKE
Rebounds 29.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.4
Turnovers 11.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 1.8
Steals 4.2 6.4
Fouls 19.6 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO DRKE
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 70.8
% of Possessions with SEMO DRKE
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 22.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 27.3%
Turnover 16.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.4%