NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA UND
Points 73.8 66.8
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.6
Shooting SEA UND
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 58.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.0
Free Throw % 74.7% 71.7%
Ball Control SEA UND
Rebounds 37.5 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.6
Turnovers 9.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.7
Steals 5.3 5.3
Fouls 16.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA UND
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 70.0
% of Possessions with SEA UND
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 27.8%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.0%
Turnover 13.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA UND
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 25.6%