NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA SYR
Points 71.1 75.8
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 17.2
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.9
Shooting SEA SYR
Field Goals Made 25.8 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 21.8
Free Throw % 74.7% 72.8%
Ball Control SEA SYR
Rebounds 37.0 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 7.0
Turnovers 13.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.7
Steals 4.9 8.1
Fouls 16.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA SYR
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 69.8
% of Possessions with SEA SYR
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 21.4%
Player Fouled 18.6% 22.5%
Turnover 19.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA SYR
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 21.1%