NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA PORT
Points 79.5 66.8
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.7 22.6
Points From Free Throws 10.5 12.0
Shooting SEA PORT
Field Goals Made 28.9 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 56.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 10.5 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 16.9
Free Throw % 74.7% 70.9%
Ball Control SEA PORT
Rebounds 37.7 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.1
Turnovers 8.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.8
Steals 5.2 3.4
Fouls 16.5 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA PORT
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 66.6
% of Possessions with SEA PORT
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 30.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.4%
Turnover 11.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA PORT
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 20.2%