NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO BU
Points 62.6 69.5
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 17.1
Points From Free Throws 11.8 16.4
Shooting SEMO BU
Field Goals Made 22.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 53.6
Field Goal % 39.6% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 11.8 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 22.7
Free Throw % 70.6% 72.2%
Ball Control SEMO BU
Rebounds 31.8 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.2
Turnovers 10.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.2
Steals 4.9 6.4
Fouls 17.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO BU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 67.7
% of Possessions with SEMO BU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 23.4%
Player Fouled 21.7% 24.7%
Turnover 15.1% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO BU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 27.4%