NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO MIZZ
Points 62.1 80.8
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 15.7
Points From Free Throws 13.2 20.8
Shooting SEMO MIZZ
Field Goals Made 21.4 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 52.7
Field Goal % 37.1% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 62.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 13.2 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 26.4
Free Throw % 70.6% 78.9%
Ball Control SEMO MIZZ
Rebounds 31.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 8.3
Turnovers 12.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.9
Steals 4.5 7.6
Fouls 19.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO MIZZ
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 69.0
% of Possessions with SEMO MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 21.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 27.9%
Turnover 17.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO MIZZ
Shot Blocked 9.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 29.0%