NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO ACU
Points 66.2 76.0
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 12.1
Points From Free Throws 11.5 21.0
Shooting SEMO ACU
Field Goals Made 24.9 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 53.1
Field Goal % 43.1% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 4.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 12.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 11.5 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 28.6
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.4%
Ball Control SEMO ACU
Rebounds 32.7 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.4
Turnovers 13.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.1
Steals 4.5 7.4
Fouls 19.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO ACU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 70.5
% of Possessions with SEMO ACU
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 15.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 27.3%
Turnover 18.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO ACU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 26.0%