NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS NJIT
Points 80.0 67.5
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 19.1
Points From Free Throws 21.9 12.8
Shooting UMASS NJIT
Field Goals Made 26.2 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 65.3
Field Goal % 47.9% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 21.9 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 29.5 17.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.1%
Ball Control UMASS NJIT
Rebounds 42.5 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.0
Turnovers 11.3 9.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.1
Steals 5.4 7.7
Fouls 12.7 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Mass Lowell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS NJIT
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 76.0
% of Possessions with UMASS NJIT
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 26.1% 17.4%
Turnover 15.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS NJIT
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 27.7%