NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS LIU
Points 83.8 66.1
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 45.2 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 13.0
Points From Free Throws 24.0 12.0
Shooting UMASS LIU
Field Goals Made 27.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 64.2
Field Goal % 48.9% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 48.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 27.0%
Free Throws Made 24.0 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 32.3 17.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 66.9%
Ball Control UMASS LIU
Rebounds 43.7 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.3
Turnovers 11.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.0
Steals 7.1 7.3
Fouls 13.2 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Mass Lowell

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS LIU
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 74.4
% of Possessions with UMASS LIU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 55.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 18.4%
Player Fouled 25.9% 17.3%
Turnover 14.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS LIU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 22.1%