NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB SCU
Points 65.2 74.3
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 12.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.3
Shooting CSB SCU
Field Goals Made 22.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 52.1
Field Goal % 39.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 26.3
Free Throw % 73.0% 69.6%
Ball Control CSB SCU
Rebounds 31.8 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.0
Turnovers 9.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 6.2 4.4
Fouls 19.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB SCU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 68.7
% of Possessions with CSB SCU
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 24.7%
Player Fouled 23.3% 28.0%
Turnover 14.0% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB SCU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 34.2%