NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB SEA
Points 64.4 70.9
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 21.2
Points From Free Throws 13.7 19.6
Shooting CSB SEA
Field Goals Made 23.4 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 51.2
Field Goal % 41.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 26.3
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.7%
Ball Control CSB SEA
Rebounds 33.9 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.3
Turnovers 11.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 5.6 5.2
Fouls 19.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB SEA
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 67.1
% of Possessions with CSB SEA
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 16.7% 25.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 27.7%
Turnover 16.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB SEA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 28.3%