NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB IDHO
Points 68.3 62.6
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 22.0
Points From Free Throws 15.6 14.0
Shooting CSB IDHO
Field Goals Made 24.2 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 49.8
Field Goal % 45.2% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 18.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.3%
Ball Control CSB IDHO
Rebounds 35.9 28.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 6.3
Turnovers 10.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.0
Steals 6.6 4.6
Fouls 16.5 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB IDHO
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 60.7
% of Possessions with CSB IDHO
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 16.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.8%
Turnover 15.3% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB IDHO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 19.9%