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Toledo at Central Mich
Tue Feb 25, 2020
7:00pm ET
Mount Pleasant, MI
Toledo at Central Mich: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Central Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 153.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | CMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 16-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 9-10-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
Central Mich Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +21.5 | L by 30 | -8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | UL Monroe | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Florida St | +20.5 | L by 27 | -6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | S Florida | +17.0 | W by 5 | +22.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Siena | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Stetson | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 27 | -3.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Valparaiso | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Creighton | +31.0 | L by 45 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Davenport | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Buffalo | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Ball St | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | E Michigan | +4.5 | W by 16 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kent St | +7.0 | W by 15 | +22.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Ohio | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Toledo | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Miami (OH) | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Michigan | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | N Illinois | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Akron | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | W Michigan | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Miami (OH) | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Ball St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | E Michigan | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| CMU -2.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3085 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Central Michigan won the game 1788 times (58.0%).
- The team like Toledo won the game 1297 times (42.0%).
- The team like Central Michigan did better against the spread, going 1530-1508-47 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1963 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Michigan did better against the spread, going 961-960-42 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/25 06:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:01 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/25 04:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/25 03:55 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/25 12:37 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 11:10 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/25 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/25 10:33 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:55 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/25 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/25 09:24 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:13 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:09 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/24 06:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/24 06:40 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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