NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOL DETU
Points 86.3 72.1
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 49.4 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 17.7
Points From Free Throws 16.8 10.9
Shooting TOL DETU
Field Goals Made 31.4 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 56.7
Field Goal % 54.5% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 60.6% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 16.8 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 14.7
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.1%
Ball Control TOL DETU
Rebounds 33.4 27.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 19.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.5
Turnovers 10.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.8
Steals 6.0 6.3
Fouls 13.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOL DETU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 66.2
% of Possessions with TOL DETU
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 25.5%
Player Fouled 23.8% 19.0%
Turnover 13.9% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOL DETU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 24.0%