NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC DEN
Points 77.2 72.6
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 21.2
Points From Free Throws 14.8 19.1
Shooting KC DEN
Field Goals Made 26.9 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 54.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 14.8 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 27.1
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.7%
Ball Control KC DEN
Rebounds 39.0 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 7.3
Turnovers 10.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.1
Steals 4.6 5.5
Fouls 19.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC DEN
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 69.5
% of Possessions with KC DEN
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 27.4%
Player Fouled 22.2% 26.7%
Turnover 14.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC DEN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 20.8%