NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC ARST
Points 70.7 75.1
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 22.2
Points From Free Throws 13.9 18.1
Shooting KC ARST
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.4
Field Goal % 41.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 13.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 25.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.2%
Ball Control KC ARST
Rebounds 36.3 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.2
Turnovers 9.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.9
Steals 5.0 4.9
Fouls 16.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC ARST
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 71.7
% of Possessions with KC ARST
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 27.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.8%
Turnover 13.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC ARST
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 28.4%