NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC LIP
Points 80.6 89.2
Total Points   169.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 50.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 26.8
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.8
Shooting QNC LIP
Field Goals Made 30.0 34.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 63.0
Field Goal % 46.2% 54.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 25.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 64.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 15.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 77.5%
Ball Control QNC LIP
Rebounds 33.8 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 6.5
Turnovers 10.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.2
Steals 5.2 5.7
Fouls 14.1 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Queens

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC LIP
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 71.8
% of Possessions with QNC LIP
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 28.5%
Player Fouled 16.7% 18.9%
Turnover 13.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC LIP
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 21.4%