NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC BGSU
Points 78.7 80.8
Total Points   159.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 17.4
Points From Free Throws 13.1 16.1
Shooting QNC BGSU
Field Goals Made 28.5 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 61.9
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.1
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.7%
Ball Control QNC BGSU
Rebounds 33.1 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.6
Turnovers 10.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.7
Steals 5.9 5.7
Fouls 16.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Queens

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC BGSU
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 75.4
% of Possessions with QNC BGSU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 22.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.9%
Turnover 13.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC BGSU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 29.6%