NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC HP
Points 77.0 88.7
Total Points   165.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 22.3
Points From Free Throws 17.7 20.1
Shooting QNC HP
Field Goals Made 26.3 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 61.2
Field Goal % 43.6% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 17.7 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 25.8
Free Throw % 71.0% 77.9%
Ball Control QNC HP
Rebounds 30.3 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.2
Turnovers 8.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.3
Steals 4.9 4.6
Fouls 18.7 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Queens

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC HP
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 77.3
% of Possessions with QNC HP
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 25.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 25.0%
Turnover 11.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC HP
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 36.1%