NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB UNCA
Points 72.0 75.3
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 20.8
Points From Free Throws 13.6 18.2
Shooting WEBB UNCA
Field Goals Made 25.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 55.2
Field Goal % 42.3% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.6 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 24.3
Free Throw % 61.5% 75.0%
Ball Control WEBB UNCA
Rebounds 37.2 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.7
Turnovers 10.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 5.5 4.9
Fouls 18.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB UNCA
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 69.8
% of Possessions with WEBB UNCA
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 24.1%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.7%
Turnover 14.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB UNCA
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 23.1%