NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB WCU
Points 68.2 74.6
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 21.3
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.1
Shooting WEBB WCU
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 60.8
Field Goal % 41.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.7
Free Throw % 61.5% 70.0%
Ball Control WEBB WCU
Rebounds 35.8 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.8
Turnovers 8.0 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.9
Steals 4.3 3.4
Fouls 15.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB WCU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 72.4
% of Possessions with WEBB WCU
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 21.2%
Turnover 11.3% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB WCU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 26.7%