NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB HP
Points 72.5 79.9
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 19.9
Points From Free Throws 15.4 21.9
Shooting WEBB HP
Field Goals Made 25.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 56.8
Field Goal % 43.4% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 28.1
Free Throw % 61.5% 77.9%
Ball Control WEBB HP
Rebounds 33.3 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.1
Turnovers 8.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.3
Steals 4.2 4.4
Fouls 19.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB HP
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 74.2
% of Possessions with WEBB HP
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 24.4%
Player Fouled 23.0% 26.8%
Turnover 12.2% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB HP
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 32.1%