NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB WICH
Points 70.2 74.3
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 15.8
Points From Free Throws 11.4 13.5
Shooting WEBB WICH
Field Goals Made 25.5 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 59.9
Field Goal % 40.7% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 11.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 19.4
Free Throw % 61.5% 69.7%
Ball Control WEBB WICH
Rebounds 36.7 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.8
Turnovers 9.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.3
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 14.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB WICH
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 71.9
% of Possessions with WEBB WICH
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 19.8%
Player Fouled 18.6% 19.9%
Turnover 13.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB WICH
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 27.6%