NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB WOF
Points 72.2 73.2
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 25.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 11.1
Shooting WEBB WOF
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 58.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.1 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 18.0
Free Throw % 61.5% 61.9%
Ball Control WEBB WOF
Rebounds 35.4 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.0
Turnovers 8.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 5.4 3.7
Fouls 15.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB WOF
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 70.2
% of Possessions with WEBB WOF
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 31.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.9%
Turnover 12.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB WOF
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 27.8%