NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE IONA
Points 60.1 71.6
Total Points   131.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 24.0
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.0
Shooting SIE IONA
Field Goals Made 21.0 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 48.9 61.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 16.6
Free Throw % 68.7% 66.3%
Ball Control SIE IONA
Rebounds 37.3 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.7
Turnovers 16.8 7.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 3.8 10.1
Fouls 12.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE IONA
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 61.1 71.4
% of Possessions with SIE IONA
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 29.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.8%
Turnover 24.7% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 14.8% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE IONA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 28.0%