NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE CAN
Points 61.7 70.5
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 20.8
Points From Free Throws 10.3 9.1
Shooting SIE CAN
Field Goals Made 23.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 62.7
Field Goal % 40.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 10.3 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 15.1
Free Throw % 68.7% 59.8%
Ball Control SIE CAN
Rebounds 35.9 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 13.4
Turnovers 12.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.0
Steals 4.4 6.8
Fouls 12.0 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE CAN
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 72.4
% of Possessions with SIE CAN
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.7%
Turnover 18.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE CAN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 34.6%