NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE CP
Points 63.1 65.0
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 18.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.1
Shooting SIE CP
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 57.2
Field Goal % 40.5% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 17.0
Free Throw % 68.7% 70.9%
Ball Control SIE CP
Rebounds 40.7 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 8.8
Turnovers 13.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.8
Steals 4.7 6.4
Fouls 14.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE CP
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 67.3
% of Possessions with SIE CP
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 23.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.3%
Turnover 19.2% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE CP
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 36.8% 24.4%