NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE SPU
Points 55.9 66.6
Total Points   122.5
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 17.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.4
Shooting SIE SPU
Field Goals Made 18.6 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 57.4
Field Goal % 37.7% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 41.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.6
Free Throw % 68.7% 71.2%
Ball Control SIE SPU
Rebounds 35.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.9
Turnovers 14.9 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.3
Steals 4.1 7.8
Fouls 15.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE SPU
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 70.6
% of Possessions with SIE SPU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 21.2%
Player Fouled 24.4% 23.0%
Turnover 22.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE SPU
Shot Blocked 9.4% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 33.9%