NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE NIAG
Points 64.0 71.7
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 13.4 17.9
Points From Free Throws 11.4 13.8
Shooting SIE NIAG
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 55.4
Field Goal % 44.6% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 11.4 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 18.6
Free Throw % 68.7% 74.1%
Ball Control SIE NIAG
Rebounds 33.8 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.5
Turnovers 12.4 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.2
Steals 4.9 6.5
Fouls 15.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE NIAG
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 66.3
% of Possessions with SIE NIAG
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 22.6%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.5%
Turnover 18.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE NIAG
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 23.6%